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Levante vs Real Madrid

Sat 01 May 2027, 14:00 UTC · Round 34 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Levante win: 20.3%

Draw: 30.8%

Real Madrid win: 48.9%

Predicted: Real Madrid

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 94.7%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 56.0%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.32

More corners: Real Madrid (45.5% home / 54.5% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Real Madrid

Yes

Probability Real Madrid wins or draws: 75.5%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Real Madrid Clearest lean of the available outcomes (49% vs next-best 31%). (49.0% model probability) Medium

Both Teams to Score Yes (95.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Over 2.5 (56.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Real Madrid win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (76.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.